Ag Beat

California grape acreage falls

California wine grapes acreage shrunk 25,000 acres since 2022 says a new USDA report.Wine grape acres were 615,000 in 2022 but as of 2024 declined to 590,000 acres. Table grapes also fell by 7000 acres to 120,000 acres as of 2024.Low profitability and the urging of industry resulted in growers pulling vineyards as well as reducing new plantings. Allied Grape Growers had lobbied for 50,000 acres to be removed to meet demand.

Farmers planted fewer new almond trees USDA nursery report says


Some 52,000 acres pulled says Land IQ
Kern leads state in removals

California almond farmers planted just 17,000 acres of new almond trees from June 2023 through May 2024. That is down from 31,000 acres in 2023 and 43,000 acres from June 2021 to May 2022.

There were at least 2.12 million almond trees sold by California nurseries since June 1, 2023.

About 29% of the total trees sold (5,000 acres) were for new almond orchard acres and 59% (10,000 acres) replaced existing almond orchards. The remaining trees sold replaced trees within existing almond orchards.

Meanwhile California’s bearing almond acreage grew a little in 2025, according to the Initial Acreage Estimate from Land IQ, commissioned by the Almond Board of California (ABC). The report estimates that bearing orchards will cover approximately 1.389 million acres for the 2025 harvest—an increase of about 6,000 acres compared to 2024. This follows a similarly small increase of 9,000 acres the previous year, which marked the slowest growth in two decades.

The report also anticipates that around 51,805 acres of almond orchards will be removed by the end of the crop year, adding to the nearly 67,000 acres removed during the 2023–24 period, based on Land IQ’s November 2024 estimate. These removals contribute to a broader trend of declining total and non-bearing acreage across the state over the past three years.

iIn our reading area Kings County shows 1518 acres removed, Kern County 8138 acres pulled (biggest decline in the state),Fresno County 5355 acres removed and Tulare County 2698 acres removed.

Ports Expect 40% drop in shipping

Los Angeles’s two big ports are each expecting about 40% fewer ships coming to unload cargo in the next two weeks as the Trump tariffs take hold. Port of LA Executive Director Gene Seroka announced the news at the Harbor Commission meeting this week expecting cargo shipments to drop 35% in about two weeks.The Port of Long Beach has predicted a 44% decline starting the week of May 4.The two are the busiest container ports in North America.

Seroka told the commission that retailers may have a six- to eight-week supply of goods “but that will quickly dry up” and consumers may see empty shelves this summer.

Seroka added that large importers have “hit the pause button on cargo from China” unable to handle a 145% tariff.”If you’re buying a product from China, it costs 2.5 times more than it did last month.”

Big box retailers have warned President Trump that consumers would see empty shelves this summer if this standoff drags on.Dock workers on the West Coast could see less work work as the ships that usually call, stay away.

With Chinese retaliatory tariffs, farm exports are already suffering as well

“These are hitting American businesses hard, particularly agriculture, heavy duty manufacturing, and the information technology and services sectors,” Seroka added. “U.S. exporters are having an especially challenging time, so much so that in March, China bought more soybeans from Brazil in one month than ever in their history.”

California ports play a major role in our agricultural shipments, handling both exports and imports. Key ports like Los Angeles and Long Beach are significant for containerized agricultural exports, with the Port of Oakland also a major gateway for agricultural exports, especially refrigerated proteins. The Port of Los Angeles, in particular, handles animal feed, cotton, and orange exports. Oakland is also predicting a major slowdown in shipping through their port.

Visalia General Fund again in good shape

Budget Surplus

April 25,2025

While other cities including Fresno and Los Angeles see a big drop off in their all important general fund budgets, Visalia is again projecting a healthy surplus in the current fiscal year and next.

Visalia Dept of Finance staff has long backed a conservative approach to revenue projections but the latest estimate surprises to the upside as it has on multiple occasions in the past.

The latest projection announced at an April City Council study session, the Mid-Year Budget projections for the 24/25 budget had anticipated revenues of $101.2 million. But now Finance is expecting revenue of $107.6 million – $6.4 million more than had been expected.

Finance is suggesting council add more to the emergency reserve fund at the city from $22.7mil to $25.8mil as the city has expanded the fund from 25% to 30% of operating expenditures

This latest upside projection is based not so much on higher expectations for sales tax but on other revenue, primarily property tax -up $3.7 million more than anticipated.
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Finance is projecting sales tax to be $46.4 million by June- only $300,000 more than expected. The report says to expect, actually “no sales tax growth.” By comparison city sales tax surged in the Covid years including 21/22′ x 29%, A more modest 15-year trendline at the city shows sales tax growth on average of 5.5%. The latest city projection for sales tax growth in 25/26′ is just one percent and 2% in years after that.

Sales tax and property tax revenue make up 78% of Visalia’s General Fund.

Council members generally back the city’s conservative approach to these estimates, noting that uncertainty in the economy right now is at a high-level. While the April report mentions some of these factors, tariffs is not included, even though it’s at the top of the list right now, One major factor is the slowdown in homebuilding across the nation and including in Visalia on the other hand, a large pipeline of new homes is awaiting permits by multiple national and local builders after a number of annexations opened more land for development.

Tulare County commercial construction at five-year low

Commercial construction in Tulare County is at a five-year low through mid-April 2025 when compared to the same period in the past few years.So far about $58 million in commercial construction has been permitted through April 15 of this year; that compares to $100 million in the same period in 2024, $79million in 2023, $244 million in 2022 and $85 million in 2021.

The slowdown reflects reduced construction in the Visalia Industrial Park as well as on Mooney Boulevard in Visalia in comparison to past years.

Regarding home building the pace so far this year is similar to the pace in the past five years with 349 single family homes permitted so far in the county this year compared to 357 in 2024, 240 in 2023, 367 in 2022 and 339 during the same period in 2021. All figures are from Construction Monitor.

Australian food container company plans manufacturing plant in Visalia

April 20,2025

Established in 2000, Multisteps Industries is a family-owned packing company based in Australia. Now the company has leased 250,000 square-foot on Riggin in the Visalia Industrial Park and plans to retool the building into a manufacturing plant making retail food containers starting this fall. The plastic food containers popular in your produce aisle at the store include packaging for meat, seafood, fresh produce, and more products.The company states they have the ability to offer packaging with up to 100% recycled content.The packaging protects and extends the shelf life of fresh produce and meats.

In a statement to the city, the company says their operation will hire between 60 to 100 employees as they ramp up what will be a 24-hour day, seven day a week operation.The building address is 7825 W Riggin.

The firm has chosen Visalia over a site in Fresno to locate.

Property owner Freddie Molina says the lease covers about three quarters of the new Clancy and Riggin – Building 3 of the YS Industries developments that is 356,000sf. He says Multisteps plans to be open in October in a multiphase development.

The company will have a site plan hearing next Wednesday, August 16 at the city planning department.

Automated assembly line fills plastic containers with produce,fish or meat

California 1Q new car sales surge on concern over tariffs

April 15,2025


Tesla sales fall 15%

The California New Car Dealers Assn released their first quarter 2025 report saying new light vehicle registrations increased 8.3% in the first quarter versus 4.6% in the US.

The potential overhaul of US trade policy added significant unknowns to the new vehicle sales outlook, says the reportas sales surged in the months of March and April. It was a strong start in anticipation of trade impacts as shoppers stepped up the pace of purchases apparently concerned over the prospect that tariffs would raise prices soon.

Registrations in the first quarter numbered 463,000 compared to 427,000 in the first quarter of 2024. Light trucks were particularly popular during this time – up 11% over last year. Sales of Asian cars climbed 27.5% while all domestic made cars were up 1.6%.

Tesla loses ground

In other news, Tesla lost ground in the state’s EV market with registrations in the first quarter falling 15% versus the year earlier. All other electric car makes increased by 35%. Tesla’s share of the state electric vehicle market fell from 55.5% in the first quarter compared to 43.9%. in the same period last year. The product lineup was less popular apparently as a backlash against Elon Musk political initiatives that are likely factors for the decline inTesla’s market share ,says the report.

Despite that news, Tesla Model Y retained the top spot as the best selling vehicle in California while F-Ford series full size trucks retained top spot in the full size pick up race. In passenger cars, Tesla Model 3 was tops, followed closely by Toyota Camry and Honda Civic.

The report also discussed electric and hybrid vehicles market share in the state versus internal combustion engine sales. The combined share for all types of alternative electric vehicles was 42.4%in the first quarter up from just 11.6 % in the same period in 2018. Gasoline powered sales amount to 55.4% of all sales in the state so far this year.

Regionally Northern California retail market improved 6.4% in the first quarter compared to 4.1% in Southern California. In the used car market there was a 2.3% increase in the first quarter as sales of Toyota cars dominated the numbers.

Visalia: Murders down but crime stats are mixed

Crime statistics for 2024 are posted on the City of Visalia website this week. There is some good news to share that the number of murders fell to 5 in 2024, down from 11 in 2023 and 9 in 2022.

For the remainder of the crime categories 2024 saw mixed results with some categories up and others down.

Rapes fell from 67 in 2023 to 66; robberies climbed to 155 vs 129 in 2023 and 131 in 2022.

Assaults fell slightly with assault using a firearm numbering 40 in 2024 vs 36 in 2023.

Burgauries numbered 401 vs 400 the year before. Larceny cases were flat.

Meanwhile motor thefts numbered 535 in 2024 vs 660 in 2023 and 609 in 2022.

Visalia will install license plate readers at intersections

The Visalia Police Department plans to install nine automatic license plate reading cameras installed at key intersections around the town,according to a public notice.

The purpose of the installation is to provide law enforcement with the ability to respond to detect license plates associated with criminal activity and to assist law enforcement with intercepting these vehicles. The beneficiaries of the project are both law enforcement and the public at large as this installation will serve public safety interests and help make Tulare County a safer community.

China Peak: Here comes “March Miracle”

China Peak announced on their website today:”The sun is out, 12-16 inches of fresh powder and the skiing and riding is fantastic. Another storm is heading our way Wednesday, calling for 12-18 inches, then clearing Thursday through the weekend. Here comes Miracle March!”

Here is the latest Feather River forecast for the northern Sacramento Valley – a good measuring cup for rain and snow expected in the next 10 days for much of the state.They suggest 288% of normal.

Several inches of rain are expected in Middle and Southern California well over the next six days as a wet first half of March appears likely.

Around the region: F21 / Costco / Visalia industry

Forever 21 stores in Bakersfield, Fresno & Tulare closing – but not Visalia

Going-out-of-business sale signs are up at the Forever 21 stores in Fresno and Bakersfield. Employees at the Visalia Mall location say their store is remaining open, a story confirmed by Visalia Mall manager Rick Feder.

But the Tulare Outlet Mall location will be closing, says an employee at the store, where signs are posted.

The parent company is going through a tough time and may go through a second bankruptcy process since 2019. Visalia Mall owner Brookfield Properties owns a stake in the LA-based discount fashion retailer.

Visalia Mall manager Rick Feder says the Forever 21 store in Visalia is “right size” at 12,500sf. By contrast the Fresno Forever 21 location is a former Gottschalks space at around 150,000 sf – what is an anchor-size space. He says that’s the case in lots of the stores that are closing- “not practical in today’s retail market.”

Reports say the company plans to close some 200 stores across the nation.

Costco gets a permit for Riggin Ave fueling station

Costco Wholesale is ready to break ground on their northside warehouse project at Riggin and Shirk starting with a 16-island fueling station. The city issued the permit February 11. The new service station will have 32 gas pumps compared to 24 pumps at the existing Costco in town. Hanford’s Costco has 16 pumps.

The 12,684 sf construction project is valued at $4 million. Building permits for the warehouse itself are expected soon.

Hearing March 3 on big industrial project

The Visalia City Council will consider a new industrial park on Monday, March 3, 2025, at 7:00 p.m.The big project is called the Shirk-Riggin Industrial Project, with a total building footprint of approximately 3,720,149 square feet on 284 acres.The largest industrial project in Visalia history, the development is being proposed by Seefried Industries.The land is owned by the Ritchie family.

The public hearing will consider the Certification of a Final Environmental Impact Report (EIR), development agreement, general plan amendment, conditional use permit, and tentative parcel map. The EIR has determined that all project impacts were either less than significant or could be mitigated to a less than significant level except for the following impacts that are considered significant and unavoidable: Agriculture and Forest Resources (project and cumulative level); Air Quality (project and cumulative level); and Noise (project and cumulative level).

The Final EIR follows a Notice of Availability period wherein the Draft EIR was duly noticed and conducted for the Project from April 11 to May 28, 2024.

If approved there will be an initiation of proceedings for annexation of three parcels totaling approximately 284 acres into the City limits of Visalia. Upon annexation the area will be zoned Industrial (I) and I-L (Light Industrial) consistent with the land use designations of the Visalia General Plan Land Use Map.

The proposed Project is located on approximately 284 acres, on the north side of Riggin Avenue between Shirk Street and Kelsey Street.

Storm boosts runoff


Giant Forest weather station gets 13in of precip

Rain and snow totals this week are heartening to Kaweah watershed watchers, including farmers and downstream communities.

At the 6400ft level, the weather station at the famed big tree grouping called Giant Forest drains to the Kaweah River.

Giant Forest is famous because John Muir himself named it as the largest gathering of giant Sequoias in the world.But it is also a key weather station watched by state water users.

Before the latest storm, the weather station had been underperforming receiving just 9.6 inches so far this water year that launched in October. That 9.6 inches number is as of February 5. The station on average gets over 42 inches of precip annually.

Fast forward to February 15 – ten days later and we have 22.5 inches of water in the bucket or another 13 inches from a couple of days of vigorous and cold storms brought about by an atmospheric river that hit middle California.

This time last year there was under 15 inches of precip measured at Giant Forest as of Feb 15, 2024.

The Tulare Basin Index that includes Giant Forest is now 88% of average for Feb 15 – up from 60% on Feb 5.

Expected runoff this year has gone from around 22% ten days ago to around 55% of April 1 average. Impressively, the 6-station Tulare Basin Index that includes Giant Forest is now 88% of average for Feb 15 – up from 60% on Feb 5.

Trump intervention

It was just a few weeks ago that Kaweah water made the national news when President Trump ordered impounded Kaweah irrigation water, about 4000af, to be released suddenly downstream when no release was needed to widespread criticism in the local farm community.

Now mother nature seems to have backfilled the loss.

Snow totals were impressive up and down the Sierra too as you can see from this NWS satellite photo of the snowpack up and down the mountain range.This time the snowman did not leave out the southern Sierra range.

In the Tahoe region one account says the” Sierra Nevada finally got a big snowfall this week in a winter that has so far been marked by warm storms that have brought more rain and slush than snow to the mountain range. Snowfall totals for Wednesday night to Friday morning ranged from four and a half feet on Mount Rose in Nevada to three feet at Donner Pass in California.”

“So far this has been the largest snow maker that we’ve seen in the Sierra this season,” Colin McKellar, a forecaster with the National Weather Service office in Reno, Nev., said on Friday.”

Back in the southern Sierra, ski resort China Peak – uphill from Fresno- saw about 40 inches of new snow and Mammoth reported 52 inches over three days.

It wasn’t just the Kaweah watershed that saw good rain and snowfall. At Charlotte Lake, a 10,440ft peak in the Kings drainage, the station got 9 inches of precip between mid January to today.

Snowfall was strong as well, building from 46 inches to 77 inches- six and one half feet on the ground.

Before you get too excited, note that the forecast for the second half of February looks dry in middle California.

Statewide precip 111% of average

The big story – NWS says AR to bring lots of snow

NOAA chart expects up to 7.6 inches of precip in Sequoia NP over the next 6 days Feb 11-17, grey on the map.

China Peak could get 66 inches of new snow by this weekend /about the same for Mammoth

NWS: Could be the “wettest system of the year so far“

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“Unlike the previous AR that targeted Northern California, we will see a significant amount of precipitation with this storm.”

NWS Hanford forecast discussion Monday said “The big story” is the atmospheric river event for later this week hitting the California coast. This setup is “very favorable for more rain in the Valley and foothills and Sierra Nevada snow.”

Latest probabilities have a 25 to 55 percent chance of an inch and a half or more of rain for the Valley total in this storm with the foothills having a 40 to 75 percent chance of 3 inches or more total in this storm. The highest probabilities have shifted over recent model runs to be concentrated towards Sequoia National Park.

Burn scars will also see a major impact from the rain with a 55 to 75 percent chance of 3 inches or more total except for the Borel burn scar near Lake Isabella which
has a 45 percent chance of 2 inches or more total which is still significant. These high rainfall probabilities increase the risk of mudslides, debris, and flooding for the burn scars that a flood product may be issued as early as this afternoon.

Concern is high this week in the Los Angeles area that several of the major wildfire areas may suffer significant debris flow from intense rain.Most of the rain is expected to fall on Thursday.

Hanford NWS says in the Sierra Nevada, we are looking at a 65 percent and higher chance of 36 inches or more of snow total above 8,000 feet for the storm. On Saturday, the storm moves out.

Another NOAA chart expects up to 7.6 inches of precip in Sequoia NP, grey in the map. So far this year, the Giant Forest station has received under 13 inches of precip suggesting this AR, like some others, can help boost overall numbers for the water year in a big way.

The storm promises to be a big snow maker according to the resorts with both China Peak and Mammoth expecting over 5 feet.

Sequoia Park: NPS photo

Biz Briefs Feb 12

Inflation moves higher

The latest report on inflation is out and it is not good news

Gas prices rise in the new year 

Wholesale gasoline prices in the US are up 6.3% since January 1 says Trading Economics.

California is getting hit even harder, says oil analyst Tom Kloza noting the reduction  in the state’s refining capacity.”Ongoing West Coast gasoline spike has nothing to do with crude or tariffs. Bay Area refining capacity in 2019 was ~800,000 b/d. Today, thanks to closures, Martinez fire, and maintenance, that capacity is ~400,000 b/d. No margin for error.”


AAA says California retail gas prices have risen 36 cents in the past month.


Tractor sales are down 13 percent

Here is the latest  report from the US tractor makers.

Big winemaker announces layoffs


Bronco Wine Company, one of the largest wine producers in the United States is owned by the Franzia brothers, Fred T. and Joseph S., and their first cousin, John G. Franzia. In November 2024, Dominic Engels was named as the new CEO of Bronco Wine Company.
This week the company announced layoffs of  81 employees at their Ceres California facility. The winemaker sells 250 brand names including  the famed ” 2 Buck Chuck ” Charles Shaw brand sold at TraderJoes. California wine sales have been in the tank the past few years and a grower trade group has been lobbying members to pull more vines, particularly from the Central Valley, to right size production.

Bureau releases Shasta water as dam level rises

The US Bureau of Reclamation recently began to release water from the states largest reservoir as it was approaching the 4,500,000 acre feet capacity of the reservoir after substantial rainfall in the past few weeks. Shasta reservoir started the water year ahead of average after two wet years. Here is the chart of water releases in the past week.