Valley farmers rip bulk wine grape imports

 No one is talking about it

Central Valley wine grape growers are complaining that the state’s biggest bulk wine processors like Gallo continue to import cheap foreign grapes even as small Valley grape growers are struggling. Lodi Winegrape Commission member Stuart Spencer writes that according to the Gomberg Fredrikson Report, nearly 68 million gallons of foreign bulk wine was imported by California wineries in 2022. “And no one is talking about it.”

“Over the past couple of months, countless industry presentations have discussed the slowing wine market, the anti-alcohol movement, how young people aren’t drinking wine, and the excess inventory of California-grown wine. We’ve been told that potentially 400,000 tons of grapes were left on the vine last harvest. Growers have been told they need to remove thousands of vineyard acres to balance supply with demand. But no one is mentioning that California’s largest grape buyers also imported the equivalent of 400,000 tons of grapes in 2022.

The importation of foreign bulk wine began in the late 1990s when a rapidly growing wine market looked overseas to fill demand. That trend slowed significantly in the early 2000s as California vineyard plantings exceeded demand, but began to pick back up around 2006 and has grown steadily ever since. 

Where is all this imported bulk wine ending up? Much of it is in plain sight on the grocery store shelves, labeled as “American” wine. Federal TTB (Tax & Trade Bureau) regulations allow for up to 25% foreign (non-US) wine to be blended with California wine and legally labeled “American.” 

Lodi farmers would like this rule to change so consumers can know if they are buying 100 percent home grown.

Alfalfa acreage drops

California and Tulare County alfalfa acreage has seen a major decline in recent decades. Tulare County farmers  in 1999 planted 103,0090 acres of alfalfa but by 2010 it was down to 90,000 acres and the latest figures in 2022 saw only 28,900 acres in the ground. A similar pattern was seen in Kings County, another big dairy county.

Since the 1920s, the alfalfa hay acreage in California has fluctuated but has trend down from nearly 1.2 million acres as recently as 2001. It was down to 450,000 acres as of 2022. The acreage is influenced by profitability of alternative crops, the demand for alfalfa hay by the state’s dairy herd, which consumes about 70 percent of the supply, and by water constraints.

A Lot more cows, a lot less alfalfa

If dairy cows are the biggest customers, the Kings County herd in the county was 130,000 in 2000 climbing to 170,000 as of 2022.

In Tulare County the number of cattle and calves has grown from 500,000 in 2020 to 720,000 as of 2022 according to the crop reports.

While many dairy farmers have traditionally grown alfalfa nearby, much of alfalfa these days is imported from other states rather than home grown. More dairy farmers have become nut farmers in the past five years

As of 2023, statewide figures show California counted about 500,000 acres of this premium hay, less than half its high in previous years. Lack of water to grow this thirsty crop is considered key.Still much of California-grown alfalfa hay is exported to Japan and China rather than used by the state’s dairy farms.

Alfalfa was introduced to California in the 1850s from Chile. The varieties imported were well adapted to California’s climate and alfalfa soon became a major crop, especially on irrigated land.

Alfalfa prices have taken a wild ride according to USDA, rising to $290 a ton in 2023 but now  costing about $195 a ton today. Alfalfa is considered valuable for fiber, energy, protein, minerals/vitamins, as a rumen buffer, and for improved animal health.

Utah university photo of alfalfa

Central Valley farmers getting less for their wine than 10 years ago

More music coming to Baywood/Los Osos

Music in Baywood is happening at a new outdoor venue on Santa Maria St brought to you by Nardonnes Pizza. The location is near the Merrymaker bar.

There are now five live-music venues offering outdoor entertainment on a regular basis in Baywood/Los Osos with a number starting in July.

Work is ongoing at the Celia’s Garden Café venue on LOVR in Los Osos with repair, clean up and landscaping of the former nursery yard on 1.5 acres underway and a performance stage in the works. Todd and Korie Newman bought the property in July 2023.Partners are Matthew and Allison Laurino. Todd is a well known music promoter in SLO County.The site includes a parking lot in the back.

Plans are underway for the first concert but the date is uncertain, says Todd,to be announced on social media.

In Baywood, a new nearly block-long venue is being constructed across the street from Beerwood on the land owned by Nardonne’s Pizza. Landscaping and fencing around the open yard along Santa Maria is underway with a stage being built. Nardonne’s has announced the first music event July 7 advertised as a “Free Community Concert” featuring the Kerosene Kings.

Now a year old, Niffy’s Merrymaker bar down the block in Baywood continues to offer regular musical events both inside and outside in their comfortable beer garden. The schedule -Monday – Live Music 5:00 to 7:00PM. On the 1st & 3rd & 5th Wednesday of the Month – Blues Night 7:00 to 10:PM.Thursday – Karaoke 7:00 to 10:00.
Friday & Saturday – Live Music – Please refer to the calendar of events as times vary.In July look for Blues Asylum-Open Blues Jam -7:00 to 10:00 July 3.On July 5 its Rachel Santa Cruz-7 to 10PM.

At Sea Pines Resort, the Barefoot in the Grass concerts on Saturdays continue with the popular band Back Bay Betty performing July 6 and on July 13 it is Big Wheel Cobra.Music starts at 2 PM.

Then there is the Old Ale House on LOVR bringing you concerts July 5 at 6PM featuring Curt and Friends and Bar Jay Bar at 2PM on July 7th (Sunday).

Hispanic cheese maker plans major new plant east of Hanford


Marquez Bros buying 50 acres once coveted by HS Rail

Marquez Bros International makes a variety of dairy products including Hispanic cheese at their crowded square- block plant on 11th St in Hanford  that clearly has no room to grow. Popular brands made here include El Mexicano variety of cheeses. Given the popularity of Mexican cuisine, Hispanic-style cheese appears to have a bright future particularly in California and the Central Valley.

California Milk Advisory Board Foodservice representative Katie Cameron says “All major Hispanic-style cheese/dairy products are projected to grow through 2025.”



It may not be surprising that Hispanic varieties of cheese enjoy a big market in California after seeing waves of immigrants come here in the past 30 years. Today California’s Hispanic population is about 40%, 55% in Fresno County, 56% in Kings and 67% in Tulare County. Families are not just eating these foods at home, Mexican food is the most popular cuisine when Californians eat out. IBIS World says there are a staggering 17,606 Mexican restaurants calling California home. In some counties in California one third of the restaurants serve Mexican food.

Another trend is also driving consumption of cheese. If Americans are drinking less fluid milk, they are more than making up for it at the cheese aisle. People are drinking half the amount of fluid milk than we did in 1975 but at the same time per capita consumption of cheese has grown threefold and yogurt is being gobbled up by a factor of seven from just 2 pounds per person in 1975 to 17 pounds per person in 2022.

Both cheese and yogurt drink products are the big sellers at Marquez international.  The San Jose-based company makes 12 varieties of cheeses, flavorful creams, 10 yogurt varieties, meats like chorizo, canned and packaged goods, beverages and of course – desserts. Tasty crumbled cheese for your tacos and enchiladas are a big seller.

Marquez Bros was founded in 1981. They opened in Kings County not just because the consumer market is here but also the milk supply is here. Milk is delivered to the Hanford plant regularly by California Dairies Inc., the cooperative based in Visalia.

Now Marquez Bros are planning what will be one of the largest manufacturing plants in Kings County behind Leprino in Lemoore. The company has filed environmental documents with the City of Hanford  to build a 50-acre dairy product manufacturing campus along Lacey Boulevard next to the high-speed rail elevated track just beyond the traffic circle and the Pemex gas station east of town. Before construction can start, the city will need to annex the land.

The plan calls for a nine-phase expansion at the former cherry orchard that would result in 730,000 square feet of buildings built over a decade. Once all phases are done, the plant could employ 200 and be visited by 120 trucks a day. The value of all the improvements at this site is likely many hundreds of millions of dollars although no one from the company would talk to us to confirm or ask any questions.
By way of comparison a new 500,000 square foot cheese plant in Ohio – Great Lakes Cheese- has a construction  value of $621 million.


Public meeting July 8

A first look at the plans will happen July 8 at 5 PM at City Hall where a scoping session will be held on the project. The meeting is open to the public. This is the first in a multiple step environmental study that will have more public meetings and an invitation to comment. Odor problems at the 11th St. plant in the past will focus efforts to ensure that does not happen with this new facility.

From the documents filed, this is a massive undertaking. It will start with clearing the land, putting in utilities, founding a wastewater treatment plant and building a cold storage. All this before they start making cheese here. The dairy facility will also have a milk receiving station, a whey plant and a plastic bottle manufacturing unit.


The building for cheese manufacturing will be 185,000sf. Once buildings are operational and production begins, the facility anticipates running on a 24-hour/5-7 day.

The land where Marquez Brothers plans to build has been owned by farmer Ernie Costamagna since 2012 who apparently has a contract to sell the property once contingencies are removed. Costamagna did not return phone calls.
The land’s location offers the dairy manufacturer the use of rail as well as highways to ship and receive because of its location along the Cross Valley rail line.Unlike their 11th St. cheese plant, there’s plenty of room to expand that will likely allow the company to exponentially expand production.For the city the project means plenty of new property tax monies coming to help bolster the city budget.

For the adjacent property owner, California High-Speed Rail, the plan amounts to a hiccup for the future location of the California High-Speed rail station serving Kings and Tulare County.

In April 2023, High Speed Rail consultants offered location maps and design concepts for several Valley high-speed rail stations that will be built in coming years. The map for the Kings County station shows almost 3000 visitor parking spaces and the entrance to the station at the base of the elevated tracks right where the cheese plant will now be built (see map).


Station design

The Kings-Tulare station will feature elevated platforms and a protective canopy, with services and amenities located directly below.

Here is how consultants describe the station:
“A short distance away from the city of Hanford, the Kings Tulare station is designed to create a streamlined experience for those arriving by bus, car, or bicycle. The elevated platforms and protective canopy will be added to the Hanford viaduct currently under construction. All of the station’s services and amenities will be located directly below, creating an easy and intuitive passenger journey. The adjacent public plaza will serve as a local community asset.” 
Each station will have an 80 to 90-foot-tall metal canopy covering the superstructures. Three stations will have raised platforms where riders board the trains, with Fresno as the outlier. Kings/Tulare and Bakersfield will have their entire station and concourse beneath the platform.The station’s platform will be raised 56 feet, allowing trains to pass over the adjacent Route 198 highway. The site plan includes parking for 2,870 cars and 290 bicycles. Transit bus bays and pick-up spaces will be incorporated immediately next to a landscaped public park. The parking will be spread across several surface lots surrounding.
Now apparently high-speed rail will move this parking and staging area for the station to the north of the Cross Valley Rail and away from Highway 198 and Lacey Boulevard that was to be the main road access.

The latest plan would use the parcel where the rail contractor stores large concrete and steel components used to build the elevated tracks. Those tracks- the one mile long Hanford Viaduct – now crosses Highway 198 heading to Corcoran. Road access to this dirt site would have to be constructed off Highway 43.

Nevertheless, HSR is not publicly acknowledging the issue saying only that “On April 30, the California High-Speed Rail Authority presented updates regarding the design and the future plans of the Kings/Tulare Regional High-Speed Rail Station to be built in Kings County. Community members were in attendance along with representatives from the Marquez Brothers. The future station is to be built on property adjacent to an active high-speed rail construction site known as the Hanford Viaduct. The Authority is in the beginning stages to acquire the property.

The Authority has worked with representatives of Kings County and the City of Hanford for several years to keep them informed of the environmental footprint that is cleared for the build out of the station facilities.”
For high-speed rail the change of plans is simply the way the cheese crumbles. 

June home sales sink in Tulare County

Visalia new home permits, commercial construction also slowed

Sales of existing homes in Tulare County took a tumble in June says the Tulare County Association of Realtors. June typically is a busy time for home transactions but this year with the backdrop of high interest rates, Tulare County completed home sales fell from 263 in May to 198.Vislalia sales also fell to just 86 compared to 178 in June 2022 and 116 in May 2024. The median sales price in Visalia fell to $400,000 in June – down from $411,000 in May 2024.

This week the mortgage rates in California are 7.014% for a 30-year fixed loan, 6.284% for a 15-year fixed, and 7.745% for a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).

Tulare County Association of Realtors chart

Meanwhile the slowing trend can be seen in new home permit activity in recent months in Visalia. In the earlier part of the year new home permits were ahead of last year’s pace, but in May and now in June the number of new home permits has fallen behind last year’s pace for the same months.

Slowdown seen

According to Construction Monitor, Visalia has permitted 134 new single-family homes so far in 2024 at of July 1. For the same period in 2023, the city permitted 180 new homes.

More slowdown in commercial building as well during the first six months of the year the value was $72.8 million – half the number in the same time period in 2023 whe commercial construction in Visalia was $ 141.7 million. Commercial valuations are harder to spot trends considering one large warehouse project in the industrial park can be valued at $100 million all by itself.

More slowdown in commercial building as well during the first six months of the year the value was $72.8 million – half the number in the same time period in 2023 whe commercial construction in Visalia was $ 141.7 million. Commercial valuations are harder to spot trends considering one large warehouse project in the industrial park can be valued at $100 million all by itself.

A new City of Visalia monthly report says the city permitted 94 new multi-family permits in June taking the total to 323 units so far this year – well ahead of last year’s 12 units pace. Single family home permits are down 16% from last year.

Around Kings County

Kings property values climb 10.45%

Kings County Assessor Kristine Lee announced the annual Assessment Roll reached $15.7 billion in countywide property values. This is the largest increase since 2008 with a growth of almost $1.5 billion or 10.45% over the previous year.

Hanford

Several factors contributed to this year’s increase. “We have seen fewer transfers of properties, but overall housing prices have increased 8% in Kings County,” Lee stated. “Agricultural properties that received a disaster reduction last year have been added back to the roll and commodity prices continue to bolster Williamson Act assessments throughout the county.”

The money generated by this year’s property tax will be distributed with approximately $80 million going to schools, $41 million going to cities, special districts and redevelopment agencies, and $35 million going to county government to fund safety, fire, libraries, roads, parks and general government.

The year-over-year assessment percentage increases by city are as follows: Avenal: 8.89%, Corcoran 7.05%, Hanford 7.81%,Lemoore 5.92%, Unincorporated area 9.57%.

Corn & cotton prices take a dive together


Ample supply of the world’s biggest and most important field crops caused the market price of both to plunge last week setting the table for lower food, transportation and clothing costs for consumers in the future.
Cotton plantings both in the SJ Valley and across the US are up.Likewise for corn, the most significant feed commodity for the huge local livestock industry.


U.S. cotton futures traded down to 63 cents per pound, the lowest since November 2020, pressured by the strength of the dollar and prospects of increased supplies. Favorable weather conditions persist throughout the entire US cotton belt, with beneficial rainfall observed in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, alongside anticipated future precipitation, contributing to downward price pressure.
Cotton is the most widespread profitable non-food crop in the world. Its production provides income for more than 250 million people worldwide and employs almost 7% of all labor in developing countries. Approximately half of all textiles are made of cotton.
The timing in the drop in futures prices came as result of a USDA report issued July 28 that projected almost a million acres more cotton has been planted than estimated in March.

In its June acreage report, USDA estimated 2024-25 U.S.cotton plantings at 11.67 million acres, up 14.1% from 2023.

Farmers are planting more cotton this year.

Upland planted area is estimated to have increased 13.9% to 11.49 million acres. ELS cotton producers planted 182,000 acres, up 23.8%.

Good news for tortillas

The future price of corn also took a dive Friday after another USDA report on corn plantings.The much-anticipated acreage report showed that farmers sowed 91.5 million acres of corn, 1.5 million acres more than they had planned to plant, according to the early-spring Planting Intentions survey. USDA also reported that June 1 corn inventories were sharply higher than anticipated, 

The combination of a larger stockpile and greater corn acres pushed September corn futures down 32ȼ to $4.085 per bushel.That is half the cost it was in the spring of 2022 that drove up feed costs for the American livestock, poultry and dairy industries and increased the price of corn-made fuel blended with gasoline.

For now feed costs are low and likely to stay that way and lower corn prices like lower cotton prices should be passed on to consumers on all products they impact.Feed costs are more  than half the cost of making milk. How about tortillas, carnitas, queso y pollo and your Jarrito too – all should be mas barato. Que no?

Tachi tribe gets 600 acre-feet water transfer

Working together to support local tribal farmers, the Department of Water Resources and Santa Rosa Rancheria Tachi Yokut Tribe have expedited two water transfers to meet immediate water supply needs and to address long-term demands north of the Tulare Lake area. Working with the Tulare Lake Irrigation District, DWR and the Tachi Yokut Tribe entered into a contractual agreement to institute both a temporary and permanent transfer of water resulting in over 600-acre feet of additional water for the area.

“California remains committed to getting water to communities that need it most. This successful effort is a direct result of meaningful consultation and communication with our Tribal partners and the hard work of our staff to ensure we can move water to places in critical need,” said DWR Director Karla Nemeth.

Tachi Yokut Tribal Council Chairman Leo Sisco stated “This transfer represents a historic moment as it is believed to be one of the few, if not only, times a Tribe has acquired contractual water rights such as those from Tulare Lake. In acquiring these rights, the Tribe further solidifies its inherent status as a sovereign nation and enhances intergovernmental relationships with the State of California. Securing water rights is not only integral for the continued agricultural and economic growth of the Tribe, but also in the continued growth and support of our community and Tribal membership. We hope that leading the way in this exercise of Tribal Sovereignty will impact not only our Tribe, but all Tribes, in reaching equality with state and local governments through meaningful negotiation and cooperation,” Chairman Sisco said.

In addition to providing a reliable water supply, the water transfer will also help stimulate the economy of the tribe by enhancing its business undertakings and prospects, developing and managing farming and agricultural operations, and working with other business entities to fulfill business goals.

CVP increases South of Delta allocation to 50%

The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation late last month provided an updated water allocation for Central Valley Project (CVP) South of Delta agricultural water contractors, increasing the allocation for this contract year by 10% from 40% to 50%. 

“This announcement provides much-needed- relief and is good news for our growers,” says Westlands Water District General Manager Allison Febbo.  “Even so, the low water supply allocations announced earlier in this contract year, after a relatively wet winter that filled the reservoirs and lifted the state officially out of drought conditions, single-handedly demonstrate the critical and urgent need to improve water management transparency and accountability in the state of California.”

More melons imported


USDA says the import share of domestic availability for all melons reached 41.4 percent in 2023, the highest on record.Melons are an important crop in the Westside of the Valley.

Car companies see EV growth in Q2 sales reports

ONIQ 5 sales were up 51%

Many automakers are reporting Q2 U.S. sales and deliveries this week. According to the website Heatmap here are some of the numbers. 

Tesla
Deliveries: 443,956 EVs, “a smaller-than-expected 5% drop,” but the brand is still losing its dominance. 
General Motors
Deliveries: 21,930 EVs, up 40% compared to Q2 last year, and up 34% compared to Q1. EV registrations are up 17% YTD, “outpacing the industry average of 10%.” Sales of its LYRIQ EV were up 26% on Q1. 
Rivian
Deliveries: 13,790 EVs, in line with expectations. The company still expects to produce 57,000 vehicles this year. 
Toyota (and Lexus)
Sales: 247,347 “electrified vehicles” (including hybrids). EV sales for the entire first half of the year were up 68% and accounted for 38% of total sales volume, “an all-time best-ever.” 
Kia
Sales: 17,980 BEVs, up 131% year-over-year. In June, overall U.S. sales for the brand were down 6.5% YOY, but EV sales specifically were up 125%, according to calculations from Inside EVs. 
Hyundai
Sales: 38,657 fully-electric vehicles (plus 26 hydrogen fuel cell SUVs, fwiw) in the U.S., up 15% compared to Q2 2023. ONIQ 5 sales were up 51%. KONA SUV sales were up 26%. Hybrid sales are up 42% for the quarter. 

 The sales figures, while encouraging, don’t necessarily suggest EV growth will accelerate, analysts told Reuters. “We’re expecting this period of time to have bumps along the way for the next few years as the transition goes from early adopters to mainstream buyers and we’re going to see this happen for a long time,” said Sam Fiorani, vice president at research firm AutoForecast Solutions. “Some quarters will be up, some quarters will be down, but all in all, it won’t be as strong a growth as we saw over the last few years.

US gasoline demand down

Just before the July 4 holiday, oil expert Tom Kloza writes June 26 about the latest EIA estimate: Poor start to summer for gas demand (8.97m/day) and distillate (3.536m/day). Combined offtake down 858,000 b/d from last year. Brisk distillate exports but Northeastern stocks grew by 1.8-mil bbl. This is NOT the report that refiners were looking for, suggestive of torpor.

They were clearly hoping for a way to raise prices at the pump.

Several supply and demand factors are in play here. First, we are producing more oil and gas in the US than ever. Here is the chart from the EIA showing the ram up in oil production. Meanwhile, per-capita gasoline consumption makes the scenario even clearer. As the population has grown over the last two decades, while gasoline consumption has gone nowhere, per-capita gasoline consumption has plunged by 15% from 2003 and by 21% from 1978:

Trading Economics reports today:

WTI crude futures erased gains to trade below $81 per barrel on Wednesday after EIA data showed a surprise increase in US crude stockpiles, raising concerns about weakening demand in the world’s top oil consumer. US crude oil stocks rose by 3.591 million barrels last week, contrary to market expectations of a 3 million barrel decline, as per EIA. Also, crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub decreased by 0.226 million barrels, following a 0.307 million build the previous week. 

Gasoline stocks increased by 2.654 million barrels, against expectations of a 1.10 million barrel decline. 

Moreover, investors remained cautious ahead of US PCE inflation data this week, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. Oil prices have been near two-month highs amid heightened geopolitical risks from Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil infrastructure and the failure to secure a peace deal between Israel and Hamas.

The number of miles driven by highway-legal vehicles of all types – cars and light trucks, buses, motorcycles, delivery vans, medium-duty and heavy trucks – rose to 3,264 billion miles in 2023, squeaking past the prior record of 2019, according to estimates by the Department of Transportation. There are a lot more people, but they’re on average driving less.

Meanwhile the fleet of cars sold the US and in California for example, are using less gas per gallon or no gas. In the Golden State a growing number of sales are either hybrid or zero emission vehicles.23.9% of all new cars sold in California last quarter were ZEVs, according to the California Energy Commission.

Combined share for BEVs, PHEVs, hybrids,
and fuel cell vehicles in California was 37.5 percent in
1Q ‘24, up from just 11.6 percent in 2018.

Newspaper print copies shrink


The Bee will print 3 days a week
: California newspapers keep shrinking.
The Fresno Bee will be transitioning to a 24/7 digital product with three days of print (Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday) beginning July 8. 

McClatchy-owned Bee joins the same company owned San Luis Obispo Tribune that announced in April  it would cut back to two days a week in April for its print edition.

Earlier this year the Los Angeles Times reported that their last printing press facility in Downtown Los Angeles closed down after printing its final paper.  At one time LA Times four facilities printed 1.5 million Sunday papers.  The one remaining Olympic plant printed about 100,000 papers at shutdown.  They used to print for other papers but that business is gone too. The newspaper and its small circulation will go to a contract plant in Riverside.

Wildfire watch

Wet start to summer for the Pacific Northwest. The Pacific Northwest has seen good rainfall earlier this year and now forecasts suggest the next month will be relatively wet as well. That could mean fewer wildfires this summer at least until late.In California, similar to last year, a slow beginning to the peak fire season is forecast for California, with below normal potential forecast for much of California in June and for the Sierra and coast in July.

However, significant fire potential is forecast to rise to above normal across the central and southern California coast and southern Sierra Foothills in September due to heavy fine fuel loading. Although it’s been a fiery start to the California fire season in Southern California this month experts still predict below average acreage

Record Ag trade deficit

After decades of substantial U.S. agricultural trade surpluses, the U.S. is forecast to experience a record trade deficit for the second year in a row. American Farm Bureau Federation economists analyzed the factors contributing to the deficit in their latest Market Intel report. 

According to the analysis, the forecast $32 billion deficit is caused by a multitude of factors, one of which is rising imports of fresh fruits and vegetables. American produce farmers face significant challenges in competing with less expensive foreign-grown produce, most notably a lack of affordable and available farm labor.

“Production of many fresh fruits and vegetables is extremely labor intensive,” AFBF economist Betty Resnick writes in the Market Intel. “For U.S. agricultural production broadly, labor accounts for about 10% of expenses. For fruit and vegetable production – labor costs account for 38.5% and 28.8% of input costs, respectively.”

Factors contributing to decreased agricultural export values include falling commodity prices for American crops and a strong U.S. dollar. 

“The strong U.S. dollar is making U.S. products less competitive on currency exchange alone,” Resnick explains. “For instance, Japan is consistently a top-5 market for U.S. agricultural products. The Japanese yen is the lowest it has been against the U.S. dollar since 1990 and half of its value from only 12 years ago, in 2012. While this exchange rate is great for U.S. tourists visiting Japan, it is very difficult for Japanese consumers seeking to purchase quality U.S. products.”

Further complicating matters, the U.S. has not entered into trade agreements with new countries since 2012 while other countries have signed agreements of their own.

“This is a difficult time to be a farmer, and looking ahead at another year with a record ag trade deficit proves that,” said AFBF President Zippy Duvall. “Our farmers are facing high labor costs — if they can hire help at all, competition from growers in other countries and stagnant, outdated trade agreements. I hope Congress and the administration see this historic deficit as a wake-up call and work to implement policy changes to address these challenges.”

This is the fourth time in six years the U.S. has faced an agricultural trade deficit. Prior to fiscal year 2019, the U.S. had not experienced an agricultural trade deficit since at least 1967, and possibly not in its entire history.

Are we not going back to the movie theaters?

Many people didn’t head to the movie theaters during the Covid years and now they are slow to return

The second largest theater chain Regal declared bankruptcy last year and closed many theaters including one in Visalia. Regal is privately held and does not publish their attendance figures. But the largest chain AMC is traded on the stock market and does report their financial numbers including theater attendance.

While this chart shows modest increases in US attendance last year theatre attendance in 2023 was 60% of average for earlier years. In the first quarter of 2024 AMC reported a decline to 30,490 movie goers in the US compared to 32,362 in the first quarter of 2023, about a 7% drop. The company’s stock is hurting as can be seen from this chart.

In terms to trends, 20 years of move theatre attendance tells the story. In 2004 ,twenty years ago ,1.5 million tickets were sold in the US. In 2024 that number is down to 640,000 using annualized figures so far this year, a drop of 58%