Group plans initiative in Morro Bay against electric battery plant

-May 10,2023-

News analysis by John Lindt

A group of Morro Bay residents who call themselves Citizens for Estero Bay Preservation submitted a Citizens Initiative on May 1st, to the City of Morro Bay. They say it requires the City to follow zoning, adopted on May 25, 2021 by the City Council and approved by the California Coastal Commission on August 12, 2021, in its General Plan titled, “Plan Morro Bay.” This Citizens Initiative requires the City to keep the zoning on certain parcels labeled “Visitor Serving Commercial” and “Commercial Recreational Fishing” along the Embarcadero.

That includes the proposed Vistra Energy lithium battery plant location to the north of the stacks and the mothballed power plant on land last used to hold oil storage tanks. Oil was used to power the plant at one time and the big tanks were removed a few years ago.

Screen Shot 2023-05-09 at 6.56.54 AMThe proposed battery plant on 24 acres is adjacent to a major PG&E substation where it will connect to the California grid – those high voltage power lines that climb the hills from Morro Bay criss-crossing SLO County and to the California transmission system. Not connecting this long existing power pathway to and from Morro Bay and to the solar farms to the east would arguably cause major regional power issues. The bottom line – this expensive connecting infrastructure is already in place.It has been long paid for.

Battery plants are designed to balance power supply and are said to help “keep the lights on” in statewide emergencies like heat waves or wildfires.

But this citizens group says they are not against clean power but are focusing on the proposed location of the battery modules located near the shore of Morro Bay to the north of the popular Embarcadero.

They say the plan for the land amounts to an industrial use that should be reserved for future visitor services.

The site,of course, has a long history of industrial use first by the US Navy, then Duke Energy and PG&E who all had a hand in building and operating 1000MW fossil-fueled 100ft tall concrete powerplant with three 360/ft tall smoke stacks – the very picture of industry.

This industrial landscape- side by side with fishing boats- has been part of Morro Bay’s image for decades and is as recognizable and not in a bad way, as Morro Rock itself is for tourists who visit this area.

Not that we couldn’t do better. This 1940s technology had clear downsides as Morro Bay knows. It polluted the air, harmed the estuary, warmed the water, and killed sea life for starters. Today the bay is cleaner and its habitat including eel grass is on the rebound to help feed the aquatic food chain.

The transformation here is part of a worldwide move toward clean energy like solar and wind and yes – battery storage -none of which heat the earth or add greenhouse gases that are in turn raising temps,boosting extreme weather events and acidifying the oceans.

OK, but don’t put these systems in our backyard,they argue. Critics point to the need to preserve Morro Bay’s fishing village atmosphere. Who wants to look at a battery plant while strolling out to the rock- right?

But Morro Bay’s Community Development Director Scot Graham reminds everyone that the deal with Vistra is that they take down the 1950s power plant on their nickel – clearing all the 107 acre site making it ready for future uses.The battery plant is three 30/ft tall buildings on 24 of those acres leaving three quarters of the cleared land to imagine by the community.

“It seems premature to rule out what we want to do while our impact study is underway including the safety aspects some are worried about.”

A report of fires at battery plants like nearby Moss Landing last year has raised safety questions. But the industry points to its widespread rollout and says it is safe

The draft impact study done by Rincon Consultants is likely this fall after which there will be community forums to discuss the report, Graham says
As to community sentiment on what should replace the old power plant, Graham says one forum held last made it clear residents had plenty of ideas beside hotel or tourist services.Now a formal community survey is expected to be released in a few months.

In a discussion on the Vistra plan last year the Tribune reported that “During the heatwave in September, up to 7 percent of the energy on the California grid came from batteries and they are performing superbly and safely,” said Vistra Community Affairs Director Brad Watson, who says the infrastructure is already in Morro Bay to quickly build up storage for solar and wind power.”

There is another aspect to all this.Many of the same critics don’t want the offshore wind project either and lump their concerns together.They fear plans could lead to some huge port facility in Morro Bay even though the bay will not accommodate anything larger than about a 120/ft boat. Heavyweight Long Beach is way ahead on securing the big wind port title.

So what is next?

The citizen group says by May 16th Morro Bay’s City Attorney will assign a title and ballot summary for the Citizens Initiative. After newspaper publication, it will be ready for signatures. They are hoping to begin our signature campaign by the end-of-May or beginning of June.

Graham says the group will need to collect over 800 signatures to get the restrictive measure on the ballot for next year in November or possibly in March.

The group says it has over 200 members. They say they are Morro Bay and surrounding city citizens who are “against the building of a battery storage plant down by the rock.” Administrators of their Facebook page are Judy Lynn Poudrier Setting and Betsy Gaudette-Cross. They say they want to:

(1) Protect the natural beauty, sensitivity, and intrinsic value of Morro Bay’s waterfront and Embarcadero;
(2) Prevent the visual and physical degradation of Morro Bay’s natural environment;
(3) Promote the health and safety of Morro Bay’s residents, tourists, boaters, and wildlife habitat;
(4) Maintain present levels of coastal access to our California Historic Landmark, Morro Rock, as well as to the Harbor, and surrounding beaches; and
(5) Preserve Morro Bay as a world-renowned tourist destination.

Demand For Vacation Homes Is Down More Than 50% From Pre-Pandemic Levels

 

April 10, 2023

The number of people locking in mortgages for second homes dropped to its lowest level since 2016 in February and remained nearly as low in March Mortgage-rate locks for second homes were down 52% from pre-pandemic levels on a seasonally adjusted basis in March, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That is compared to a 13% decline for primary homes.

Second-home rate locks fell to their lowest level since 2016 in February and remained nearly as low in March.

Screen Shot 2023-04-10 at 3.00.27 PMThe drop in second-home demand follows a meteoric rise during the pandemic homebuying boom. Mortgage-rate locks for second homes reached a peak of 89% above pre-pandemic levels in August 2020. At that time, many affluent Americans bought homes in vacation destinations, encouraged by low mortgage rates, remote work, and limitations on traveling from place to place.

Second-home buyers are deterred by high rates, newly instituted loan fees, slowing rental market

A scarcity of new listings, elevated mortgage rates, still-high home prices and persistent inflation, among other economic woes, are holding back demand for both primary and second homes.

A variety of factors are causing the outsized drop in second-home demand:

•Many potential second-home buyers are priced out because it’s frequently more expensive to buy a vacation home than a primary home. The typical second home was worth $465,000 in 2022, versus $375,000 for a primary home. Additionally, the federal government increased loan fees for second homes in April 2022.

•Vacation-home buyers are quicker to pull back from the market than primary-home buyers because second homes aren’t a necessity.

•Workers are returning to the office. Second homes are less attractive when there’s less time to spend in them. While working from home is more common than it was before the pandemic, the share of job openings that allow remote work has shrunk since early 2022.

•Buying a vacation home to rent it out is nowhere near as attractive as it was during the pandemic homebuying and investing boom. Owners of short-term rentals are reporting a steep decline in business. That’s because many people became vacation-rental hosts during the pandemic, which led to oversupply. Many local governments are also instituting new short-term-rental regulations, like new taxes and stricter permitting. The long-term rental market is also cooling.

•Bank accounts are shrinking as stock markets decline, so would-be buyers have less cash on hand for down payments and monthly payments.

•Many people with the means and desire to buy a second home have already done so, during the pandemic homebuying boom of 2020 and 2021.

“With housing payments near their all-time high; a lot of people can’t afford to buy one home right now, let alone a second,” said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist Taylor Marr. “Add the recent increase in loan fees, inflation, shaky financial markets, the end of pandemic-related financial stimulus and many companies calling workers back to the office, and it’s simply a challenging time for most Americans to buy a vacation home.”

TRADING PLACES

Dems gain in SLO County registration 

Sea change in Fresno County as well
-April 8,2023-

 

Screen Shot 2023-04-08 at 2.18.48 PMRepublicans are watching their voter registration numbers dwindle both along the coastal counties of the state and in the more conservative interior of California. The scale of the change is dramatic as the two parties have traded places when it comes to voter preference numbers in the past two decades.

In February 2019 the state published  a snapshot of voter registration by county, something that happens every two years.

Just a few years ago in San Luis Obispo as of Feb 2019 the GOP outnumbered Democrats 58,641 to 58,493.

Four years later in 2023, Democrats number 69,759 voters vs 62,195 Republicans. So Dems increased their numbers by more than 11,000  while GOP numbers increased by about 3500

SLO county turned blue in  a matter of a few years.Today 38.39% of voters call themselves Democrats while 34.2% say they are  Republicans, according to state statistics.

A look back to February 2015 finds SLO County was a GOP stronghold  with Republicans outnumbering Dems by over 10,000 with a 39.7% vs 32.8% advantage.

 Since 2015, Dems have increased their numbers from about 49 thousand to 70 thousand – a gain of 21 thousand compared to a 3 thousand count increase in GOP numbers – a 7 to 1 advantage.

How about twenty years ago? That year in February 2003, the GOP had 62,000 voters in the county, amazingly the same total the GOP has today. In 2003 Dems numbered 49,000.

Fresno trend

What about in the SJ Valley where conservative politics has been the norm? In Fresno County there is a similar “trading places” trend – it turns out.

In February 2003, twenty years ago, the GOP outnumbered Dems by almost 5000, 151,781 to  147,039(D) in Fresno County. Fast forward  February 2023, Fresno Dems now number 197,477  compared to 160,468 (R).

In 20 years, the GOP has gained under 19,000 more voters in Fresno County while the  Democrats have gained over 50,000.

Platform & refinery shut down

The end of a Central Coast oil era 

Possible alternative uses considered

-March 16,2023-

The end the oil era is clear along the Central Coast. Now two former petroleum-based enterprises may still have an alternative future even as they are mothballed.

Screen Shot 2023-03-13 at 1.06.20 PMProduction has ceased at Platform Irene in the Santa Maria Basin offshore  Vandenberg Space Force base in California. Irene, the first platform installed in the Santa Maria District in 1985, was a milestone in Pacific OCS development. Only 7 of the 23 Pacific offshore oil platforms are still producing. The Platform would deliver oil by pipeline  for processing at the Santa Maria refinery owned by Conoco Phillips which has just shut down.The Conoco oil pipeline to the Bay Area will also be decommissioned. With no place to send oil, Irene has ceased operations.

Conoco says their 1,780-acre Santa Maria Refinery, located adjacent to State Highway 1 on the Nipomo Mesa,  sits on about 200 acres, or roughly 11 percent of the land.The remainder is grazed by cattle, held as open space or used as a preservation area for wildlife in the Nipomo Dunes.

Screen Shot 2023-03-16 at 11.24.50 AMSanta Maria Refining operations was scheduled to cease in the first quarter of 2023. Shutdown of the facility is related to the planned conversion of our San Francisco Refinery in Rodeo to one of the world’s largest renewable fuels facilities, which stands to help California meet its demand for lower-carbon transportation fuels and achieve its environmental goals.

The Santa Maria Refinery employed 78 employees and 53 contractors. The company notified these individuals of the refinery shutdown almost two years ago and are in the process of helping our employees either remain with the company at another location or secure other job opportunities locally.

We intend to remediate the site at 2555 Willow Road in Nipomo following the shutdown.  They expect the remediation process to take several years.

Now the question for both the offshore platform and the former refinery is what’s next – could they both have some  environmental an/or renewable energy future?

The  platform is owned by Freeport-McMoRan Inc who will have to completely remove the structure unless some  alternative use saves them the expense. The structure, minus the oil equipment, has been discussed amor use as an attractive reef for fish habitat as well as a wind energy platform. They could use the existing 5 mile  pipeline to shore to connect to the grid.

As for the refinery newly elected  SLO County Supervisor Jimmy Paulding helped lead a study to repurpose the refinery  in a 2021 study.Here is some text for there study. i

The analysis was produced by two separate student-led projects at Cal Poly, and explored a half dozen different repurposing uses for the Phillips 66 facility that is slated for closure in 2023. Potential reuses analyzed for the site include desalination, green hydrogen generation, grid-scale battery storage, plastics recycling, an anaerobic digester for organic waste, and conservation. According to preliminary analysis commissioned by the Central Coast Economic Recovery Initiative (ERI) and the Institute for Climate Leadership and Resilience at Cal Poly (ICLR)  the partners commissioned the research and connected students with local subject matter experts to provide technical expertise and guidance. The ERI and ICLR plan to support additional analysis by graduate student researchers, faculty, and subject matter experts in the future. 

“The purpose of this preliminary analysis is to get the community thinking about the possibilities for the site once the oil refinery closes. Currently there are over a hundred full time jobs supplied by the plant that will need to be replaced, and there are millions of dollars worth of infrastructure that will become stranded assets if nothing comes of the facility after it closes,” according to Jimmy Paulding, Arroyo Grande City Council Member and Principal Author of the ERI. 

Now that Paulding is a member of the Board of Supervisor, we asked if there is anything new about the issue. Here is what has legislative aid ,James Sofranko  said. 

“Supervisor Paulding has gotten wind of interest among companies who are evaluating the site for potential reuse but the details of which are not yet known. As far as he knows, at this point Phillips 66 is working through the process with the County to obtain permits and conduct environmental review in order to complete demolition of existing facilities and site remediation.”

Santa Maria strawberry production way down this year

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March 16,2023-
This photo(BELOW) provided by the California Strawberry Commission shows a flooded Pajaro River area in Pajaro, Calif. on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. California’s strawberry farms have been hit hard by this year’s winter storms. Industry experts estimate about a fifth of strawberry farms in the Watsonville and Salinas areas have been flooded since a levee ruptured last week and another river overflowed. (California Strawberry Commission via AP)
ASSOCIATED PRESS

Screen Shot 2023-03-16 at 9.49.42 AMPerhaps not surprisingly, strawberry production for the Sant Maria growing area is way down this season as a parade of storms has soaked fields for weeks. Likewise for the Salinas growing area.
Here is the latest chart on production showing the Oxnard ares has not been as hard hit. Season long, Santa Maria has produced just 25% of the berry flats compared to a year ago. Salinas is producing no flats.Info from  National Berry Report.””

From Farm Progress

After storms in December and January caused over $200 million in crop damage from wind, rain and floods, damage from recent flooding from the Pajaro and Salinas rivers in Monterey County has caused hundreds of millions of dollars more in losses, the California Strawberry Commission reports.
The latest disaster comes as farmers had borrowed money to prepare the fields and were weeks away from beginning to harvest, said Rick Tomlinson, the commission’s president. As soon as the cleanup is complete, farmers will begin the process of preparing the fields and starting over, he said.
Disaster relief and emergency financial assistance will be critical for both the residential community and the farming operations, he said.

 

 

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Save Cuesta Inlet Fundraiser April 1

March 6,2023-

Screen Shot 2023-03-06 at 7.58.15 AMThe folks at savecuestainlet.org are making progress in their effort to purchase the cuesta inlet property in Los Osos and preserve it for public use.
We are thrilled to announce a fundraiser concert at the South Bay Community Center in Los Osos on April 1st at 7 pm, featuring music by the fabulous Mother Corn Shuckers!
A no-host bar will be provided serving beer, wine, and non-alcoholic drinks, and there will be pizza for purchase. Get your tickets now at savecuestainlet.org, savecuestainlet on facebook, or at my805tix.com
Tickets are $35 in advance and $40 at the door.

100% of the profits go to preserving this iconic public space.

Peace, love and public access!

 

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Warm storm Thursday / Friday-

More rain in March expected

-March 6 2023-

NWS Hanford is reporting that a much warmer storm system will impact Central California Thursday night through Saturday, resulting in rain in the Sierra Nevada foothills and Sierra Nevada below 8,000 feet. The majority of this precipitation will fall Friday and Friday night. Flooding is possible.

Parts of  the The Central  Coast could get an additional 2 inches of rain over the two day period.

Here is NWS’s discussion….

We will have a much welcomed break from precipitation Tuesday through Thursday of this week, which should be a few pleasant days for the valley. Temperatures will remain largely the same, with highs near the sixties and lows nearing the forties for the San Joaquin Valley through Friday. Temperatures in the valley will warm over the weekend, with highs in the mid to high sixties and lows nearing 50 degrees. A strong storm system in the Pacific Ocean will approach the California coast and begin impacting our area Thursday night through Saturday. This atmospheric river will bring an abundance of subtropical moisture into the area alongside widespread precipitation. This warmer moisture will cause snow levels to be extremely high, beginning at 5000 feet and above on Thursday and rising to 8000 feet by Friday. These high snow levels combined with moderate to high rain totals will result in rapid snow melt in areas that have received several feet of snow in the past few weeks. Rain totals for the area are: half an inch to an inch of rain for the central valley, one to one and a half inches of rain for the eastern San Joaquin Valley, and 2-3 inches and above for the Sierra and foothills, with some high totals of 4-6 inches at Shaver Lake and Grant Grove. Because of very high snow levels, snow totals will be high for only a few locations: Tioga Pass, Mammoth Lakes, and Mt. Whitney could each see one to three feet of snow. Other areas will see very low snow totals of 1-2 inches, while the rest of the precipitation that falls will be rain. Much of the precipitation is forecast to fall Friday and Friday night. This combination of heavy rainfall and rapid snow melt could prove to be very problematic and result in dangerous flooding conditions. Water levels will rise in river areas and streams Thursday through Saturday. People living near rivers and streams should closely monitor water levels and be ready to move to higher ground if the threat of flooding becomes imminent. People in these areas should also have an evacuation plan and keep a close eye on our websites and social media for further hydrologic updates. Our office has issued a Hydrologic Outlook with more information due to the threat of flooding for these areas.

Also below: Climate Prediction Center expects more rain in the next two weeks Screen Shot 2023-03-06 at 7.38.30 AM

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Wet conditions return

-February 20,2023-

The NWS Service Hanford is predicting almost a week of wet and cold storms will impact the mid-state with low elevation snow as well. The return of wet weather  comes after February has been a dry month with as little as 20% of typical rainfall.That follows an extremely wet January that filled long-parched reservoirs all over the state.

Here are a few of the NWS charts starting with Tuesday-Thursday(2/23) and followed by Thursday thru Saturday.

For you Sierra watchers- it looks like up to 4 feet of snow.

By the way, Sunday, Tuesday and Wednesday that follow look wet too.

 

 

Screen Shot 2023-02-20 at 7.30.40 AMScreen Shot 2023-02-20 at 7.30.18 AM

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Old Morro Bay wastewater plant floods/ hotel watch

-February 13,2023-

Screen Shot 2023-02-12 at 7.23.15 AM
Complaints about the new Morro Bay  wastewater plant recently completed across Highway 1 on a hilltop above the city might review reports that the former WWTP  near the ocean ended up flooded during the heavy rains. The city says the plant, if it had still been in service, would not have functioned as a result of the storms and its location. Here is the report.

“The old wastewater treatment plant experienced severe flooding with water levels reaching around 3 feet on the site. Staff responded by installing aluminum flood gates on multiple buildings and electrical control rooms; these gates were designed to be used during a tsunami response. The gates were able reduce the amount of water coming into the buildings, though heavy mud, silt, and debris made it into most areas. Had this facility still been in operation during the flooding, the result would have been imminent catastrophic failure of the wastewater system.”

Central California hotel occupancy down but revenue posts higher

Statewide hotel occupancy averaged 58% in December, a 4.1% decrease from 2021.The state’s average daily rate was $169.14 per night, up 4.8% year over year and 11.8% vs. 2019.

Likewise in Central California where occupancy rates in December including Visalia, Fresno and San Luis Obispo all fell from a year earlier.Fresno hotel occupancy was down 8.8%, San Luis Obispo  was down 1.5%, Visalia was down 8.3%. On a year to date basis, SLO occupancy was up 2.3%.

As to revenue, the daily rate in Visalia in December was $119 vs $111 a year earlier.SLO was $132 vs $ 128 for 2021.

California eggs down 62 cents in week

California large eggs by the dozen are down 62 cents in the latest USDA weekly report selling large eggs for around $4.25 a dozen.

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SLO jobless rate keeps falling

-January 20,2023-

tourists are back and so are the jobs
tourists are back and so are the jobs

The unemployment rate in the San Luis Obispo County was 2.4 percent in December 2022, down from a revised 2.8 percent in November 2022, and below the year-ago estimate of 3.3 percent. This compares with an unadjusted unemployment rate of 3.7 percent for California and 3.3 percent for the nation during the same period.

A closer look shows the county labor force increased from 135,600 in December 2021 to 136,100 in December 22. While there were more people available for work the number of people without jobs went from 4400 in December 2021 to 3300 in December 2022.

SLO County’s lowest jobless rate was seen last May at 2.1 %