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South Valley Population Growth Led By Hispanics –

Tulare County Projected To Be 68% Latino by 2060

New projections by the California Department of Finance say that 2014 will be the year California will become 50% Hispanic. A number of Valley counties are there already. The growth in the Hispanic population in the south Valley including Fresno,Tulare and Kern counties – is the main reason this region will see some of the fastest growth in the state over the next 50 years.

The population projections announced  last week say Fresno County will grow from 932,377 residents in 2010 to 1.6 million by 2060. Today,of the 932,377 people some 470,000 are Hispanic or about half.That percentage will rise to about 60% in 2060. Of the 1.6 million population in Fresno County in 2060 – 989,000 will be Hispanic says the state study.

In Tulare County the Hispanic majority will grow to more than two thirds, about 68% Hispanic in 2060 to 548,000 Hispanics out of a total  836,500. Tulare County is around 60% Hispanic today.

Kern County’s population will grow faster than most large metro counties in the state by 2060 says the projection with 2.05 million residents from 841,000 in 2010. Kern’s Hispanic population will be around 60% in 2060 at 1.22 million says the state. It was 49.3 % Hispanic and 38.7 percent white in 2010. Kern’s growth will outpace Fresno County – roughly matching Sacramento’s expected growth – the two bookends of the San Joaquin. Buoyed by natural resources and opportunity in oil, renewable energy, ag and merchandise distribution, the county is a beacon for investment on multiple fronts.

Mega-counties like Los Angeles is expected to grow more slowly on a percentage basis from 9.8 million to 11.5 million residents in 2060.

By 2060, California will have 13 counties of one million or more, with eight of those with 2 million
or more residents. Six of the counties with at least one million will be inland counties. The four
new counties reaching one million will be Fresno, Kern, San Joaquin, and Ventura. California’s population will cross the 50 million mark in 2049 and grow to
nearly 52.7 million by 2060 says the report.
Other points covered by the report:

– For the population as a whole, the median age will increase from 35.2 to 41.9 years old.
Whites have the highest median age in 2010 (44.5) while Asians have the highest in
2060 (47.0). Hispanics’ median age (27.2 in 2010 and 39.0 in 2060) is consistently
lower than all other race groups other than Multi-Race.
– In 2030, there will be 9.6 million Hispanics in the prime working ages of 25 to 64; Whites
will have 7.2 million and Asians 3.1 million. By 2060, Hispanics will be the largest group
in the working ages by a considerable margin: 12.1 million Hispanics to 7.4 million
Whites and 3.2 million Asians.

– Southern California will lead the State’s growth over the next 50 years (2010 to 2060),
growing by 8.3 million to 31 million in population. For this report, in the interest of
geographic simplicity, Southern California includes San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara,
Kern, San Bernardino, Ventura, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Diego, and
Imperial counties

-The San Joaquin Valley will add 3 million new Californians, growing from 3.1 million to
6.2 million. Valley gains will be led by San Joaquin County (growing by 852,000), and
Fresno County (growing by 683,000). For the purpose of this report, the San Joaquin
Valley includes San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Merced, Madera, Fresno, Kings, and Tulare
counties. Please note, for this report Kern County was included in the Southern
California region and not the San Joaquin Valley region.

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